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At face value it would seem an easy matter to estimate the chances of receiving any certain card in a game of poker. In fact may people who play poker have systems they have developed that rely on the odds they have figured out. However, the simple fact of the matter is that there is actually so much variability to the game of poker that it is almost impossible to know what the next card you have coming is, and even more difficult to manipulate the game of poker so as to make sure the card you need is the card you get. The reason for this is quite simple. The way poker is played and the cards are dealt is simply to chaotic to actually have a good chance at predicting any outcome. If some parts of the poker game were changed such as being able to see what the other players had to work with in their hands than this could be different. However the truth is that unless significant changes are made to the game of poker guessing which card is coming is simply that, a guess.

Yet this does not mean that there are not such things as safe bets and solid hands, quite the contrary in fact. In a game as random as poker the more solid facts you have to work on the better. For this reason it is important to know how your hand stacks up against the infinite possibilities at your table. If for instance you are holding a full house, you know that it is a pretty strong hand. In fact you are one card away from four of a kind. So playing with that hand is a safe bet. However the possibility of a better hand still exists, though this possibility is much less than if you held a single pair. In the end poker is about managing what you know, not hoping to control what you don’t know.